It happened again. I was reading a story about the apparent hazards that are
expected to derail an celine
bag online asset class that's in my portfolio and I thought, gee, I
better sell. The article presented a strong case for seeing red in the near
future. But then I remembered that the asset class is just one piece of my
diversified portfolio, and that my rebalancing strategy will take care of any
extremes in the various components. Thinking about the big picture for my
personal asset allocation reminded me that the article wasn't all that
applicable to my situation after all. Once again, my initial emotional reaction
turned out to be not so helpful after all in money matters.
Stories about the alleged opportunities and risks for a given asset class at
a specific point in time are a staple in the financial media. Some of them are
actually right, but not always. I should know, since I've been known to write a
few of these gems through the years. But every time you read one of these
articles you should remember that the information is almost always presented in
a strategic vacuum in terms of your portfolio. That's inevitable, of course,
since only you know what's in your portfolio, and so http://www.celinehandbagse.com/ only you know how much
relevance, if any, applies when it comes to current news on a relatively narrow
slice of the world's capital and commodity markets. In other words, analyzing
assets in isolation of your total portfolio can lead to bad investment
choices.
The caveat wouldn't mean much if we had something approaching near certainty
that the analysis du jour for a given asset class was accurate. In that case, we
could throw all the standard rules about risk management out the window. In the
real world, of course, imperfection infects every effort to peel away the cloud
of unknowing on the morrow. Fortunately, there's a reasonably effective
solution: asset allocation and rebalancing.
When you hold a broadly defined portfolio of the major asset classes, you're
always prepared to exploit return volatility, regardless of the source or
whether it's a total surprise or widely anticipated. Once you wrap your head
around this idea, many of the updates from the usual suspects lose their
relevance for your portfolio.
We can and should debate the details for structuring a portfolio in terms of
defining asset classes, how many to own, etc. But the key point is that in order
to harvest risk premia from price volatility, you first must own a broad set of
assets. That means owning a mix of winners and losers on a regular basis, and
not getting too worked up over any one piece of the portfolio at one point in
time. Ideally, you'll own an expansive set of assets that maximize the supply of
low and negative correlations across the portfolioan essential feature for
profiting from rebalancing opportunities.
Yes, it all boils down to buy low and sell high. Duh! But obvious lessons all
too often remain elusive for investors on the road to earning a decent return.
One reason is there's a tendency of going off the deep end in deciding that a
certain asset class should be avoided, or that another asset is a Celine sure thing
and so it's time to overweight in the extreme. The problem is that if you spend
any time studying the historical record of all the asset classes, in context
with one another, it's clear that surprises are a constant. The implication: own
everything and focus like a laser beam on managing the mix.
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